While I have written in the past about the revolution that
the world of retail is undergoing, one interesting thing about the future is
that it keeps unfolding. Like any lively crossroads of converging technologies,
the principles of retail choice (or should I say persuasion) brings
psychology, behavioral economics, and even neuroscience together with digital
technology to change the mechanics of human decision making.
Wiring the face muscles of subjects viewing Internet
websites (looking for irritation from frowning or delight from smiling) is
rather old hat, but what is new is using this feedback data to build habitual
behavior out of the pleasure data, based on the half-century-old research of B.F. Skinner on positive conditioning. The goal is to transform the subject’s initial
actions into to compelling urges to repeat pleasurable actions.
Nir Eyal is the developer of an approach called the Habit
Hook, a progressive learning loop that begins with an action trigger, leading to
a rewarding experience and ending with some sort of investment. The result is
an increased likelihood that the subject will undertake the whole sequence
again, thus moving smoothly from actions into urges.
What is most provocative about this new integration of the
soft and hard sciences
(which increasingly involves smartphones and a wider range
of apps than simple online retail) is that it could build habits that are
actually good for you, such as increased participation in corporate wellness
programs by encouraging not just more activity but more rest each night.
This arena is now being crowded not just by decision
psychologists, but also by game theorists and predictive modelers. While better
services and more suitable offers for consumers are hyped, what we are seeing
is a brave new world for advertising. Firms like Rocket Fuel, are using
AI programming to design ideal website ads that make upwards of $400 million
annually. This is a long way from putting the “next best thing” into that Web
stream to see if it went viral or faded away, with few clues of what the
outcome would be.
Behavior engineering is flowering, driven by rapid advances
in neuroscience and the emergence of continuous
shopping. The constantly evolving Web is no longer an impediment to choice
but a process of galvanization and inside information rewards (newest and best
first); consumer participants will soon be able to continuously curate their
commercial experiences, thereby educating both themselves and marketers.
Note: This is not
a lament about our loss of personal freedom or psychic privacy (although that
may be increasingly involved). It is an observation that positive behaviors
such as healthier activity or increased frugality are also the outcomes of
habit building. Moreover, nonprofit organizations could also use such benign
behavior building techniques, benefiting from greater sharing of personal
information and higher, more reactive transmissions speeds worldwide.
If activating the brain’s reward circuitry is “addiction,”
whether or not substance abuse is involved, as the American Society of
Addiction Medicine has determined, these techniques may cause concerns. But
they also may suggest solutions to some of society’s most concerning health and
public safety challenges.
Download “The Future of Retail Marketing” by Timothy C.
Mack, Foresight Report, AAI Foresight Inc., Spring 2015 (PDF).
Sources: “Technology
and Persuasion” by Nanette Byrnes and “Compulsive
Behavior Sells” by Ted Greenwald in MIT
Technology Review Business Report: Paths of Persuasion, March 23, 2015.
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